The research

The NHMRC Partnerships in Injury - Prevention of Older People's Injuries (POPI) program involves 8 different research projects, related to falls (Projects F1-F6) and Transport injuries (Projects T1-T2). The details of these projects are outlined below.

  Shortcut to:

Project F1. Human balance

 

Project F2. Risk factors for falls 

 

Project F3. Preventing falls and injury in hospitals

 

Project F4. Preventing falls and injury in high-risk groups of older people

 

Project F5. Safe Footwear and Walking Surfaces

 

Project F6. Developing a Falls Assessment Screen

 

Project T1. Test development and validation

 

Project T2. Prospective cohort study of risk factors for motor vehicle crashes

 

References

 

 

Project F1. Human balance (Leaders: Dr Richard Fitzpatrick, A/Prof Paul Hodges)

Identifying risk factors for falls has relied on understanding the mechanisms and conditions affecting balance [1-3] . To date our studies of human balance [4-6] and the tests included in our falls-risk assessment consider only balance during standing. However, most falls occur during walking and performing transfers [7] , and mechanisms to prevent falls require stepping reactions. The studies outlined in this section investigate the sensorimotor control of human walking, stepping reactions and the causes of trips and slips. Apart from an understanding of the physiology and biomechanics of these behaviours, a goal is to find simple measures to be used in other areas of the falls-injury program.

Study A. Stepping

Background

Human standing is normally stabilized by reflex contractions of the leg muscles that apply appropriate forces to the ground to balance the body and correct small postural disturbances. Previous work has identified the sensory mechanisms responsible for the control of standing balance [4, 5, 8] . With bigger disturbances, this is insufficient and a step is taken to maintain stability. Recent studies indicate that inappropriate step responses are a significant cause of falls and related injury [9, 10] . The sensory basis of this stepping reflex is not known, but the feet, leg muscles, eyes and vestibular organs are likely candidates. The size and speed of a disturbance will determine whether a subject steps or remains standing. When either, or both, reach a threshold level, a step needs to be taken to stop falling.

Aims

To determine the sensory basis of the stepping reflex and identify protective stepping patterns in young subjects. To investigate abnormal responses in older subjects. To quantify thresholds for stepping in both groups of people.

Subjects

Approximately 30 subjects aged 20-45 years and 50 subjects aged 60-90 years (40 with a known high risk of falling) will be recruited.

Study Design

This will be a cross-sectional study with each subject undergoing one assessment at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute.

Procedures/measurement tools

Subjects will stand and be pulled forward by a servo-controlled linear motor while body movement and the centre of foot pressure are recorded. The size and speed of the pulls will be adjusted to determine the threshold region at which subjects step. Different sensory conditions will be tested. Visual input will be modified by blindfold, darkening the room or wearing translucent lenses. Sensory input from the feet will be modified by anesthesia, vibration or cutaneous stimulation. Vestibular input will be modified by simultaneous electrical vestibular stimulation or tilting the head. In addition to the threshold for stepping under different sensory conditions, outcome measures will include the electromyographic, kinetic and kinematic responses determined through motion analysis and force-plate recordings.

 

Study B. Trips and Slips

Background

Trips and slips occur during locomotion and account for approximately 60% of all falls in older people. A trip occurs when the advancing leg is stopped so that the body weight cannot be transferred to that leg. It is commonly encountered when a person does not see an obstacle. A slip occurs because the frictional resistance of the walking surface is either too low or less than expected. As with the stepping reflex, triggered recovery strategies are required to prevent falling. Probably more so than for stepping, the recovery strategy itself can be a cause of injury because of the much greater forces involved. We will investigate these behaviours by inducing trips and slips.

Aims

To determine sensory triggers for recovery from trips and slips in younger subjects. To identify appropriate responses in older subjects.

Subjects

Approximately 30 subjects aged 20-45 years and 50 subjects aged 60-90 years (40 with a known high risk of falling) will be recruited.

Study Design

This will be a cross-sectional study with each subject undergoing one assessment at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute.

Procedures/measurement tools

Trips will be produced with a specifically designed shoe that has an apparatus that can be triggered to catch the floor at different times in the gait cycle and thereby impede that leg from advancing to stance phase. Slips will be induced by an apparatus built into the walkway that can be triggered so that it moves in the direction of gait at heel strike and in stance phase. The size and speed of the slip will be controlled. Subjects will be medically assessed and those too frail or with known osteoporosis or a history of fracture will be excluded. Participants will be protected by a body harness that will prevent falling. Visual, vestibular and peripheral sensory input will be modified in the manner described for the stepping study (above). Outcome measures will include electromyographic, kinetic and kinematic responses determined by motion analysis and force-plate recordings.

 

Study C. Accelerometry

Background

Our assessment of stability and falls risk relies largely on determining body sway when standing [1, 2]. Although falls occur more frequently when walking, there is no simple measure of stability for walking. In the same way that minimizing sway is considered “optimal” during standing when considering falls-risk, a forward velocity that is constant could be considered “optimal” for walking. Thus deviations from this trajectory could provide a measure of instability. Using 3-D accelerometers at the pelvis and head, pilot studies have shown a near-linear relationship between walking speed and deviation from constant velocity.

Aims

To develop a simple measure of stability while walking. To determine the range of normal behaviour and the effects of modifying visual, vestibular and sensory input from the feet in younger subjects. To determine the effects of aging and specific sensorimotor deficits on stability while walking. To correlate results with tests of physiological function already known to predict balance problems and falls.

Subjects

Approximately 40 subjects aged 20-45 years, 100 subjects aged 60-90 years, and approximately 20 subjects with different clinical conditions (such as peripheral neuropathy, age-related maculopathy, vestibular disorders and Parkinson’s Disease) will be recruited.

Study Design

This will be a cross-sectional study with each subject undergoing one assessment at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute or the Queensland University of Technology.

Procedures/measurement tools

Data will be obtained while walking on the floor and on an irregular, rough-terrain surface. Subjects will wear a portable data collection device. If necessary, an investigator with walk behind the subject to ensure safety.

 

Study D. Balance and Vision (Optical Blur)

Background

Aims

Subjects

Study Design

Procedures/measurement tools

 

For the whole F1 Project (studies A-D)

Outcomes

·         Understanding the sensorimotor determinants of stepping responses for falls avoidance and how it is affected in older people, especially groups at risk of falling.

·         Understanding recovery strategies from trips and slips in older people, especially those at risk of falling.

·         Understanding the sensory and motor basis for age-related changes in gait stability, and gait factors associated with falls in older people.

·         Provide normative data for a large group of older adults.

·         Provide a simple, portable and reliable measure of stability during walking that could be applied in many settings.

Researchers

Leo Carney (QUT), Richard Fitzpatrick (POWMRI), Graham Kerr (QUT), Andrew Hills (QUT), Stephen Lord (POWMRI), Michael Halmagyi (U Syd), Paul Hodges (POWMRI), Hylton Menz (UWS), Ian McCloskey (POWMRI), Anthony Parker (QUT), Julie Steele (UoW), Janet Taylor (POWMRI), Charles Worringham (QUT).

 

Project F2. Risk factors for falls (Leaders: Dr Graham Kerr, A/Prof Stephen Lord)

The Partnership investigators have made significant advances in identifying risk factors for falls and injury in older people. In F2 we will build upon and extend this research. Three controlled studies will be conducted to enhance our understanding of vestibular disorders (Study A), vision and gait (Study B) and choice stepping reaction time (Study C). Three prospective studies will be conducted, one focusing on visual risk factors for falling among community dwellers (Study D), one among of people with Parkinson's Disease (Study E) and one among a large group of community-dwelling older people, testing vision, vestibular function, and neuropsychological function (Study F). This work will enable better prediction of people at risk of injury and the implementation of targeted interventions, and will provide simple tests that will be incorporated into screening programs of falls-risk (see F6). Studies A, C and D will be conducted in Sydney, Studies B and E will be conducted in Brisbane and Study F will be conducted in both Sydney and Brisbane.

 

Study A. Developing tests of vestibular function

Background

Caloric ENG testing, the standard clinical test of vestibular function, is unpleasant and technically difficult to administer [16] . It is a test of the vestibulo-ocular reflex (VOR) and is only a general indicator of vestibular balance problems where deficits may not be related to the semicircular canals. The available screening tests of vestibular function, Fukuda’s vertical X-writing and stepping tests, and a test of vestibulo-ocular stability do not predict instability or falls in older people [1] .

Aims

To develop and validate feasible and safe tests of vestibulo-ocular stability and vestibulo-postural function to identify vestibular dysfunction in those with balance disorders.

Subjects

40-80 subjects will be recruited if they have complaints of unsteadiness, vertigo, visual disruption, or inappropriate motion sense for 6 months or more that has been accurately identified as a peripheral vestibular disorder at the Hearing and Balance Unit, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney. Patients with position-provoked dizziness, non-surgical Menière’s Disease, and those taking medications for dizziness will not be included. Other subjects with no history of vestibular disorders will comprise a control group.

Study design

Study A will be a cross-sectional study. Subjects will undergo one assessment at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute.

Procedures/measurement tools

A test of vestibulo-ocular stability will measure visual acuity during imposed head movement. Subjects will view high and low contrast letter E stimuli with head movements at 0.5,1, 2 and 4 Hz to give indicators of vestibular performance over a broad range of the VOR [16] . A test of vestibulo-postural function will measure subjects’ ability to perceive the gravitational vertical. Subjects will be supported upright, blindfolded, on a motorized platform that will lean the body away from the true upright in any direction. The subjects, or the experimenter, will use a hand-held control to return the body to vertical, and any error will provide a measure of vestibulo-postural acuity.

 

Study B. Understanding visual impairment and gait

Background

Age-related maculopathy (ARM) is the most prevalent cause of irreversible visual loss in older people.

Aims

To investigate the mechanisms of the effects of visual loss on balance and gait in this clinical population.

Subjects

80 subjects with advanced age-related maculopathy (ARM) and 80 matched control subjects with no ocular disease will be tested.

Study design

Study B will be a cross-sectional study. Subjects will undergo one assessment at the Queensland University of Technology.

Procedures/measurement tools

In addition to the falls risk assessment tests [1] , these subjects will also be assessed for stability during standing and several movement tasks typical of conditions in which people with ARM could be expected to fall (walking, turning, negotiating obstacles, stairs, slopes and slippery surfaces). Standing will be assessed on a force plate with standard stabilometric parameters and stabilogram-diffusion parameters [19] . During the movement tasks, body kinematics will be recorded using video motion analysis, and force reactions will be recorded with force plates. Head orientation, joint angles, foot clearance and standard gait parameters will provide insight into the mechanisms of visual loss on balance and gait in this clinical population.

 

Study C. Understanding choice stepping reaction time

Background

Avoiding a fall requires perception of a postural threat, selection of an appropriate corrective response and proper response execution. We have devised a test of choice reaction time that requires body weight and balance transfers that mimic the step response required to avoid a fall. This test has been validated as a risk factor for falls (retrospective reporting) in a retirement village.

Aims

To enhance our understanding of stepping choice reaction time.

Subjects

Approximately 20 subjects aged 20-45 years and 40 subjects aged 60-90 years (20 with a known high risk of falling) will be recruited.

Study design

Study C will be a cross-sectional study. Subjects will undergo one assessment at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute.

Procedures/measurement tools

Subjects stand on a non-slip black platform that contains 4 rectangular panels (32 x 13cm), one in front of each foot and one to the side of each foot. The panels are illuminated in a random order, and subjects are instructed to step on to the illuminated panel as quickly as possible but using the left foot only for the two left panels (front and side) and the right foot only for the two right panels. Measures of reaction time and execution time will be obtained by recording surface EMG of the leg muscles and the time to turn off the switch. These measurements will be also taken while the subject steps forwards on level ground, steps up onto and down off a block, and using the platform for two-choice stepping up (in response to illumination as described above). To further understand mechanisms of falling and to validate this test, performances in a subset of subjects will be compared with their responses to induced slips and trips (see F1).

 

Study D. Visual risk factors for falls in community dwellers

Background

Standard visual-acuity and visual-field tests are not consistently associated with falls [11, 12] . However, contrast sensitivity and depth perception are strongly associated with falls and fractures [11, 12] . This indicates that tests of specific visual functions used for balance and detecting hazards are needed.

Aims

To examine the relative predictive power of eight screening tests of vision, alone and in combination with other physiological risk factors for predicting falls in community-dwelling older people.

Subjects

A sample of 150 people aged 65 and over will be recruited from the community.

Study design

Study D is a prospective cohort study. Subjects will be assessed on possible visual measures of falls risk and followed for 12 months to determine falls outcome. The study will be based at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute.

Procedures/measurement tools

Vision

High- and low-contrast visual acuity will be measured with log MAR charts. Contrast sensitivity will be measured with the Melbourne Edge Test [11] . Depth perception will be measured with a Howard-Dohlman apparatus and the Frisby stereotest. Monocular and binocular visual field loss will be assessed for high and low contrast stimuli [13] . Certain tests will be administered at distances of two step lengths - the critical distance at which people detect hazards when walking [15] .

Other physiological risk factors for falling

In addition, tests which have previously been found to be predictive of falls [1] will be administered. These are: lower limb muscle strength (with a spring balance), peripheral sensation (lower limb proprioception), reaction time (using movement of the finger as the response) and body sway (with a sway meter while the subject stands on a foam mat).

 
Study E (part 1). Falls risk and Parkinson's Disease

Background

People with Parkinson’s Disease (PD) have impaired balance control and high rates of falls and injury [20, 21] . There is yet to be a validated falls risk assessment tool for this group.

Aims

To provide a validated falls-risk assessment specific to Parkinson’s Disease (PD).

Subjects

80 people with Parkinson's disease will be recruited.  This study will be based at the Queensland University of Technology.

Study design

Study E will be a prospective cohort study. Subjects will be assessed on possible measures of falls risk and followed for 12 months to determine falls outcome.

Procedures/measurement tools

Tests which have previously been found to be predictive of falls [1] will be administered (ie tests of lower limb muscle strength, peripheral sensation, reaction time, body sway and vision).

In addition the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale, and a set of mobility tests including gait accelerometry, choice stepping reaction time, biomechanical indices of shuffling and freezing, stair climbing, turning, and obstacle clearance during gait will be administered.

 

Study E (part 2). Falls risk factors in Parkinson’s patients (Dr Mark Latt)

Background

Aims

Subjects

Study Design

Procedures/measurement tools

 
Study F. Falls risk factors in community dwellers

Background

Previous work [1] has led to the establishment of a battery of tests which are strong predictors of falls among community dwelling people. This study will investigate possible additional risk factors with a focus on vestibular functioning, neuropsychological functioning and choice reaction time.

Older people with cognitive impairment are at increased risk of falls [3] . Asking older people to perform attention tasks such as backward counting or answering a question can impair balance and gait [17, 18] . Thus, even standing, which is considered to be a “reflex” activity, requires cognitive input in people with balance disorders. This study will include psychometric tests to measure attention deficits and dual-tasking abilities.

Aims

To enable better prediction of people at risk of falls and to provide simple tests that will be incorporated into screening programs of falls-risk.

To establish the role of validated tests of vestibular function as risk factors for falls in older people.

To establish the role of attention deficits and dual-tasking abilities as risk factors for falls in older people using psychometric tests.

To measure the extent to which reduced function in particular sensorimotor systems and the presence of health and lifestyle conditions are associated with poor performance in a test of choice reaction time, and whether older people with slow choice stepping reaction times are at increased risk of falls.

Subjects

Two samples of community-dwelling people will be recruited by random selection from the Sydney and Brisbane electoral rolls: (i) 250 men and women aged 70 years and over from Sydney and (ii) 250 men and women aged 75 years and over from Brisbane (these subjects will also take part in study T1 to enable us to examine shared risk factors for falls and transport-related injury). Based on our previous studies [1] and power analyses with alpha levels of 0.05 (2-tail design) and power of 0.8, samples of this size will be sufficient to detect any clinically significant differences in the posited risk factors between faller and non-faller groups.

Study design

Study F will be prospective a cohort study. Subjects will be assessed on measures of falls risk and followed for 12 months with monthly falls calendars to determine frequency of falls and related injuries. This study will be based at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute and the Queensland University of Technology.

Procedures/measurement tools

Vestibular Functioning

Tests to be included following validation in Study A.

Neuropsychological Functioning

Tests will include a cued-attention switching task requiring subjects to change balance stances in response to auditory cues, a working memory and divided attention task in which participants are required to name objects appearing on the screen while undertaking balance tasks, backward counting, and Brook’s spatial and non-spatial memory tasks.

Choice stepping reaction time

Subjects stand on a non-slip black platform that contains 4 rectangular panels (32 x 13cm), one in front of each foot and one to the side of each foot. The panels are illuminated in a random order, and subjects are instructed to step on to the illuminated panel as quickly as possible but using the left foot only for the two left panels (front and side) and the right foot only for the two right panels.

Other measures of falls risk

Tests which have previously been found to be predictive of falls [1] will be administered (ie tests of lower limb muscle strength, peripheral sensation, reaction time, body sway and vision). The visual assessment tool(s) will be chosen based on the results of study D.

T1 tests

Subjects in this study who are current drivers will also undergo additional tests of cognition, motor performance, vision and health as outlined in the section describing study T1.

 

Study G. Sleep disturbances and falls in the elderly (Elizabeth Latimer-Hill)

Background

Aims

Subjects

Study Design

Procedures/measurement tools

 

Study H Cardiovascular and aerobic risk factors for falls in older people (Rebecca Roodveldt)

Background

Aims

Subjects

Study Design

Procedures/measurement tools

 

For the whole F2 Project (studies A-H)

Outcomes

·         Understanding the role of impaired vision in predisposing older people to fall.

·         Understanding the role of impaired vestibular function in predisposing older people to fall.

·         Understanding the role of impaired neuropsychological function in predisposing older people to fall.

·         Understanding the role of impaired choice stepping reaction time in predisposing older people to fall.

·         Understanding the causes of additional falls-risk in populations with conditions that affect sensorimotor and balance performance: persons with advanced ARM, those with vestibular disorders, and persons with Parkinson’s disease.

·         Validation of tests of falls risk in these previously poorly-investigated aspects of physical and psychological function.

·         Selection of tests for use in screening tools.

Researchers

Kaarin Anstey (POWMRI), Richard Fitzpatrick (POWMRI), Graham Kerr (QUT), Andrew Hills (QUT), Paul Hodges (POWMRI), David Le Couteur (CERA), Stephen Lord (POWMRI), Hylton Menz (UWS), Vasi Naganathan (CERA), Michael Halmagyi (U Syd) Beth Newman (QUT), Julie Steele (U Woll), Joanne Wood (QUT), Charles Worringham (QUT).

 

Project F3. Preventing falls and injury in hospitals (Leaders: Prof Bob Cumming, Prof Tony Broe)

Background

Falls in acute hospitals increase morbidity, prolong hospital stays, and strain the resources of the health care system, family and community [23] . In Australian hospitals, 38% of all reported patient incidents involve a fall [24] . In the geriatric ward of an acute hospital, a 27% falls rate has been reported [25] and in general hospitals reported rates were 1.6% and 1.7% [26, 27] . Two previous trials of interventions to prevent falls in hospitals were too small to show an effect but these, and an uncontrolled trial of a patient alarm, showed some promise [28] .

Aims

To investigate strategies to reduce the incidence of falls and related injury in hospitals.

Subjects

Ten hospitals in Sydney and Brisbane will participate in this trial (actual hospitals to be confirmed). Patients aged over 75 years (n=3000) admitted to acute hospitals for at least one night, for other than brief procedures, will be included. Four wards in each of the ten sites, and 75 patients in each ward, will be included.

Study design

A cluster-randomized design will be used. Patients will be randomized by ward and stratified by ward type. The program will be applied for two months in each ward. This sample size is estimated by a power analysis with a reduction in the falls rate from 4% (estimated, see above) to 2% in the intervention wards, a significance level of 0.05, a power of 0.8, and an intra-class correlation of 0.01 to allow for cluster randomization effects.

Procedures/measurement tools

Patients will be assessed to identify strength, balance, mobility and cognitive problems that would increase their risk of falling. A researcher with physiotherapy or nursing background will implement the following measures designed to reduce falls. The patient, family and staff will be educated about the person's increased risk of falling. The patient will be trained to use an appropriate walking aid and will practice daily. Equipment to assist in safe toileting (e.g. bottle, pan or bed-side commode) will be provided if the person is unable to walk to the toilet unassisted. In addition, steps will be taken to identify hazards and maximize the safety of the ward environment. Following the clinical assessment, those patients who are considered unsafe to mobilize without assistance, yet are considered likely to attempt this, will wear a movement-sensing alarm that will alert nursing staff if the person attempts to rise from a bed or chair. This is designed to prevent falls from a standing height, which are the most injurious. Alarms that emit a high frequency noise detectable by nursing staff are being developed. The alarms will not distress the patient, be comfortable to wear and be able to be cleaned using standard hospital protocols.

Falls will be recorded using hospital incident forms, which will be modified as required. In addition, patients who fall will be interviewed regarding location, causes, and circumstances. Morbidity data about stay in hospital and treatment required will be recorded. A cost-benefit analysis will establish whether the reduction in the incidence of falls and injury justifies the expense of additional physiotherapy and nursing staff to implement the intervention. To enable this, the researcher will record time spent implementing the intervention. Nursing staff/patient ratios will be used as covariate in outcome analysis. Measures of strength, balance, mobility, cognition, reaction time and drug use will be used in a multivariate analysis to identify objective risk factors for falls in hospitals.

Outcomes

·         Development of inexpensive alarms to alert hospital staff when patients at risk of falling attempt to rise from a bed or chair unaided.

·        Identification of effective strategies for preventing falls in acute hospitals.

Researchers

Adrian Bauman (UNSW), Guy Bashford (UoW), Mary Courtney (QUT), Helen Edwards (QUT), Suzanne Kuys (PAH), David Le Couteur (CERA), Stephen Lord (POWMRI), Lyn March (RNSH), Vasi Naganathan (CERA), Beth Newman (QUT), Solomon Ni (USyd), Brian Oldenburg (QUT), Sue Ogle (RNSH), Cathie Sherrington (POWMRI), Raja Salgado (Calvary Hosp), Paul Varghese (PAH), Charles Worringham (QUT).

 

Project F4. Preventing falls and injury in high-risk groups of older people (Leaders: A/Prof Ian Cameron, Dr Cathie Sherrington)

Background

Specific groups of older people have an increased risk of falls and injury, and so provide an opportunity to test targeted interventions. Targeting interventions of physical activity to patients with specific needs is effective and sustainable. Falls risk factors such as strength and balance deficits are common among older people, and promoting physical activity to remedy them is likely to benefit a large segment of the older population. In the six studies described in this section, we will develop, implement and assess targeted interventions for the different populations of older people known to be at increased risk of falls and injury. In addition, a systematic literature review will update the evidence-based guidelines for treatment and rehabilitation of hip fracture in acute-care and rehabilitation settings.

Study A. Targeted interventions

Aims

To determine whether targeted interventions designed to compensate for impairments in strength, balance, vision, peripheral sensation and visual field dependence can reduce the rate of falling in community-dwelling people.

Subjects

Subjects aged 75 years and over (n=600) will be recruited from the community.

Study design

Potential subjects will undergo a physiological assessment of their risk of falling using a physiological profile using normative data from large population studies [1, 29] . Subjects who display a significant risk will be randomised into one of three intervention groups (n=200 for each). These groups will receive minimal intervention, extensive intervention or no intervention. This study will be based at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute. Assessments will occur at Royal North Shore Hospital in Sydney.

Procedures/measurement tools

In the minimal intervention, subjects will receive a report about their falls risks and recommendations about how to reduce them. The extensive intervention will build on the minimal intervention by offering specific strategies depending on the individual’s needs. These will include: 1) tailored exercise programs to improve strength, balance and coordination, 2) a visual intervention to improve vision, 3) counselling on how to compensate for reduced peripheral sensation and 4) counselling on how to compensate for visual dependence. Subjects will be reassessed for the physiological measures at six months, and followed up for 12 months to determine falls and falls injury incidence. A full cost and cost-effectiveness analysis will be undertaken. This project has the potential for immediate application, and we anticipate that the model will be incorporated into health care services.

Study B. Strength and balance impairments

Aims

To determine the effectiveness of a prescription of physical activity by GPs for older patients with falls risk factors, and to provide a model of physical activity promotion for older people with scope for wide dissemination in Australia and the tools to enable the practical application of the intervention.

Subjects

Participants will be recruited through their GP after a simple falls risk assessment. If they have balance, strength or reaction time deficits that could be ameliorated by exercise intervention, they will be referred to the study for a thorough assessment and measurement of baseline variables.

Study design

Participants will be randomly allocated (stratified by GP surgery) to the exercise program (n=200) or continued routine care by their GP (n=200). This study will be based at the South Western Sydney Area Health Service Health Promotion Service.

Procedures/measurement tools

Accredited exercise instructors who have experience with older people will conduct the exercise program. The program involves one group session per week and instructional material for weekly home activities. Levels of physical activity, falls-risk factors and quality of life will be measured at a subsequent clinic assessment at 6 months, and physical activity will be measured again by telephone interview at 12 months. The incidence of falls will be monitored monthly for 12 months. The person making the assessments will be blinded to group allocation.

Study C. Recent hospitalisation

People who have recently been hospitalized are at an increased risk of falling [30] . This is likely to be due to deconditioning as a result of the immobility associated with illness and hospitalization. Many studies of exercise in older people involve relatively short-term programs (e.g. 10 weeks [31] ). However, cessation of this type of exercise may result in a loss of gains. If this is so, then the findings from longer-term falls studies could erroneously indicate that exercise does not prevent falls.

Aims

To investigate the role of strength and balance training in the reversal of post-hospitalisation deconditioning. To assess the effects of ceasing such training.

Subjects

Participants will be recruited from patients recently discharged from the Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, and the Port Kembla Hospital, NSW.

Study design

Participants will be randomly allocated to either a strength-training exercise program (n=200) or to a strength and balance training program (n=200) or a non-exercising control group (n=200).  In the initial stages this study will be based at the Royal North Shore Hospital, assessments will occur in participants’ homes.

Procedures/measurement tools

The interventions will be in the form of home exercise programs which will be established and monitored by physiotherapists who will attend each patient’s home once a week. The programs will involve 12 weeks of exercise training, with follow-up for a further period of 12 weeks. Levels of physical activity, falls-risk factors of balance and strength will be measured at baseline and at weeks 12 and 24. The assessor will be blinded to group allocation.

Study D. Frailty

Among community-dwelling, relatively healthy older people, exercise programs conducted in weight-bearing postures (e.g. standing and walking) reduce the risk of falling [32] . In contrast, in frailer or more disabled populations who have only had mild seated exercises, little or no effect on falls risk factors has been demonstrated [33] . Thus, greater effects on strength and balance may be found among frailer people if more challenging exercise programs are undertaken.

Aims

To evaluate a program of group exercise for people who have been discharged from in-patient and outpatient rehabilitation services with ongoing physical disability.

Subjects

A total of 200 subjects will be recruited over 3 years. We will target those whose level of disability precludes their attendance at general community-based exercise classes.

Study design

Subjects will be randomly assigned to either a test program or a control (delayed intervention) program. This study will be based at the Bankstown-Lidcombe Hospital Physiotherapy Department.

Procedures/measurement tools

The exercise program, developed by physiotherapists at Bankstown-Lidcombe Hospital in Sydney, involves 10 sessions over 5 weeks of exercise classes attended by 6 to 8 people. The circuit-style classes are run by a physiotherapist and focus on weight-bearing exercises designed to improve strength, balance and endurance. Physiological assessments of strength and balance that can provide a measure of risk of falling [1] will be made before and after the first five-week period. The assessor will be blinded to the group assignment.

Post hip fracture (Studies E, F, G)

Hip fracture is a major global public health issue. Following hip fracture, patients have increased falls-risk factors and higher rates of further injury. It has been recently shown that a program of weight-bearing exercise at home after hip fracture improves strength and mobility [34] . This raises the question of whether this program or the more commonly used bed exercise program is more appropriate for rehabilitation after hip fracture. In the proposed project, we will investigate the efficacies of these different exercise strategies in two randomized trials for in-patient and community settings.

Study E. Hospital hip fracture trial. 

Aims

To investigate the effects of different muscle strengthening strategies among in-patients undergoing rehabilitation after hip fracture.

Subjects

80 subjects will be recruited from in-patients at the Bankstown-Lidcombe Hospital.

Study Design

Subjects will be randomized to either a group (n=40) who will carry out traditional bed exercises or to a group (n=40) who will exercise in weight-bearing positions (using tasks such as standing, walking and stair-climbing). This study will be based at Bankstown-Lidcombe Hospital Physiotherapy Department and the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute.

Procedures/measurement tools

The outcome measures of this study will be balance, strength, and functional abilities (rising from a chair, walking, stair climbing). Subjects will be re-assessed following two weeks of intervention.

Study F. Home hip fracture trial.

Aims

To investigate these two different approaches in home exercise programs among people who have suffered a hip fracture.

Subjects

Subjects for this study (n=120) will have been discharged from in-patient and out-patient rehabilitation intervention at a number of acute and rehabilitation hospitals in Sydney.

Study Design

Subjects will be randomized to either a group who will carry out bed exercises (n=40), or to a group who will carry out weight-bearing exercises (n=40), or to a control group who will not receive any intervention (n=40). This study will be based at Bankstown-Lidcombe Hospital Physiotherapy Department and the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute

Procedures/measurement tools

The outcome measures of this study will be balance, strength, and functional abilities. Subjects will be re-assessed following one and four months of home exercise.

Study G. Hip fracture literature review

A systematic literature review will update the evidence-based guidelines for treatment and rehabilitation of hip fracture in acute-care and rehabilitation settings [35] . This review will be conducted at the Royal North Shore Hospital and the University of Sydney.

Study H. Enhancing Mobility after Hip Fracture

Aims

To determine the effects of intensive weight-bearing exercise after hip fracture

Subjects

160 participants will be recruited from the physiotherapy and rehabilitation services of three large Sydney teaching hospitals. All patients who have surgical fixation, are admitted to the rehabilitation ward, do not have severe cognitive or other impairments and who plan to return home to the community or a hostel will be invited to participate.

Study Design

Subjects will be randomly allocated to intensive weight-bearing exercise or non-weight-bearing exercise groups.

Procedures/measurement tools

The primary outcomes are walking speed and isometric quadriceps strength. Subjects will be re-assessed following one and four months of exercise.

 

For the whole F4 Project (studies A-H)

Outcomes

·         Identification of effective strategies to prevent falls in community-dwelling people with visual, sensorimotor, coordination and balance problems.

·         Identification of effective strategies to prevent falls in persons recently discharged from hospital.

·         Identification of effective strategies to prevent falls in frail older people.

·         Identification of effective strategies to prevent falls in older people who have suffered a hip fracture.

·         Production of systematic literature review which will update the evidence-based guidelines for treatment and rehabilitation of hip fracture in acute-care and rehabilitation settings.

Researchers

Adrian Bauman (UNSW), Ian Cameron (USyd), Graham Kerr (QUT), Suzanne Kuys (PAH), Lyn March (RNSH), Solomon Ni (USyd), Brian Oldenburg (QUT), Sue Ogle (RNSH), Anthony Parker (QUT), Cathie Sherrington (POWMRI), Peter Silburn (QUT), Paul Varghese (PAH), Mandy Williams (SWSAHS).

 

Project F5. Safe Footwear and Walking Surfaces (Leaders: A/Prof Julie Steele, Dr Hylton Menz)

Footwear contributes to approximately half of falls in older people [36] with most older people choosing shoes for comfort rather than safety [37]   As a large proportion of older adults wear poorly fitting slippers indoors [37, 38] research pertaining to factors associated with safe indoor footwear is urgently needed This project will include two studies which will examine footwear factors contributing to falls in older persons.  The studies will be undertaken at the Biomechanics Research Laboratory, University of Wollongong, the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute and the School of Safety Science, University of NSW.

Study A. Shoe design

Background

The main shoe features that affect postural stability are heel height, midsole stiffness, heel-collar height, and midsole flaring [39] . Elevated heels impair standing balance and increase the risk of falling in older people [40] . Shoes with compliant midsoles impair foot position sense and make older subjects less stable when walking on narrow beams compared with shoes that have stiff midsoles [41] , and high heel-collars may benefit stability in some older people [42] . Lateral flaring of shoe midsoles is used to increase lateral stability in sports shoes although no studies have evaluated this potentially beneficial design in older people.

Aims

To identify those features of shoes that are beneficial to stability in older people, and those that are hazardous. To correlate anthropometrical data and physiological factors known to be associated with falls (strength, proprioception, reaction time, vision, standing balance) with response patterns for different footwear.

Subjects

Subjects over 65 years (n=60) and a younger group (n=30) will be recruited.

Study design

This will be a cross-sectional descriptive study with each subject undergoing one assessment.

Procedures/measurement tools

Subjects will walk on level and uneven walkways in different footwear in which the shoe features outlined above are controlled. The new technique being developing to assess walking stability by measuring head and trunk accelerations when walking on flat and uneven surfaces (F1) will be applied to evaluate walking stability. Kinematic, ground reaction forces and electromyographic recordings will be used to measure standard gait parameters, foot clearance and their variability, and to identify trips, slips and recovery. It is expected that the technique and understanding obtained from the trips and slips project (F1) will be applied here to determine shoe characteristics necessary to minimize and recover from these events.

Study B. Slip resistance

Background

About one quarter of falls are attributed to slips that occur when there is inadequate resistance at the heel contact phase of walking. Most research on sole slip resistance has examined occupational footwear by testing this footwear type on force plates. Consequently, maximizing slip resistance has become an important goal in shoe design [43, 44] . However, this is not necessarily the optimal condition for falls and injury prevention in older people generally or for specific groups of older people. For example, shuffling is common in some older clinical groups (e.g. Parkinson’s Disease and hemiparesis) and can be viewed as an adaptive and protective strategy [45] . Non-slip shoes prevent shuffling, which may explain why Parkinson’s Disease patients often dislike them.

Aims

This study will develop patterns of heel shape, and sole tread and material that will optimize slip resistance when walking.

Subjects

Subjects over 65 years (n=60) and a younger group (n=30) will be recruited.

Study design

This will be a cross-sectional descriptive study with each subject undergoing one assessment.

Procedures/measurement tools

Modifying the geometry of the heel region and sole material significantly alters slip resistance in casual footwear [46] . This will be done in a controlled manner and frictional resistances will be measured using a dynamic friction-testing device. Analysis of gait in older and younger subjects wearing shoes with different slip resistances while walking on different indoor and outdoor surfaces will proceed as in Study A (“Shoe design”).

 

Study B. Biomechanics of slipping in people with rheumatoid arthritis (Bridget Munro)

Background

Aims

Subjects

Study Design

Procedures/measurement tools

 
For the whole F5 Project (studies A-B)

Outcomes

·         Design recommendations for safe shoes for indoor and outdoor use.

Researchers

Anthony Parker (QUT), Guy Bashford (UoW), John Evans (QUT), Richard Fitzpatrick (POWMRI), Stephen Lord (POWMRI), Bridget Munro (UoW), Hylton Menz (UWS), Julie Steele (UoW).

 

Project F6. Developing a Falls Assessment Screen (Leaders: A/Prof Stephen Lord, Dr Richard Fitzpatrick)

To identify people at risk of falls injury, simple assessment screens need to be used in a wide variety of clinical settings and populations. The important “products” of the research outlined above will be validated falls assessment screens that can be used in general practice clinics, acute hospitals, nursing homes, physiotherapy departments and falls clinics. These screens will range from simple pencil and paper checklists to computer-generated assessment reports. Each assessment will be evaluated for sensitivity and specificity for predicting falls, and feasibility and usefulness in clinical settings. This project will be based at the Prince of Wales Medical research Institute.

Aims

To develop a very simple screen requiring minimal equipment which will be applicable for general practice and community settings. To develop two more precise versions of the assessment, a short screening version and a longer comprehensive version.

Procedures

It is anticipated that the screening version will take 10-15 minutes to administer and will be suitable for acute hospitals and long-term care institutions. The comprehensive version, that will take 45 minutes to administer, will be suitable for rehabilitation, physiotherapy and occupational therapy settings and for dedicated falls clinics. An Internet program that generates a falls-risk report from prototype assessments can be seen at http://www.powmri.unsw.edu.au/FBRG/FBRGhome.htm. These assessments contain tests of vision, peripheral sensation, lower limb strength, reaction time and balance during standing. Performances in these tests, when included in discriminant analyses, can correctly classify fallers and non-fallers with an accuracy of 75% [1] .

By using the research findings from the studies outlined above, we expect to greatly enhance these assessment screens, by including better tests and broadening the scope of the assessment to include psychosocial, medical and neuropsychological domains, and to streamline the assessment procedures to tailor them to different clinical settings.

These tools will be evaluated by questionnaire for users in different settings after a one-month trial period.

Outcomes

·         Development of a range of validated screens that will accurately identify older people at risk of falling. These tests will be able to be used by GPs, nurses, physiotherapists, occupational therapists and exercise scientists.

Researchers

Richard Fitzpatrick (POWMRI), Stephen Lord (POWMRI),

 

Project T1. Test development and validation (Leaders: A/Prof Joanne Wood, Dr Kaarin Anstey)

Background

In this study we will develop and test a model that integrates a wide range of sensorimotor and cognitive factors involved in driving performance. A similar approach has been applied successfully to develop the falls injury program.

Aims

To develop and test a model to predict driving performance.

Subjects

Of the random sample of 500 adults aged 70 and older recruited from the electoral role for the injuries risk program (ie those subjects in the large prospective study described in F2), it is expected that 60% will be drivers. This group of approximately 300 subjects will participate in this older drivers component (T1). This allows at least 10 subjects per predictor variable for the 2 types of outcome measure (driving tests & crash statistics), a number adequate for multiple regression analysis [51] . Analyses based on previous studies [48] indicate that this is sufficient to detect significant multiple associations between driver performance and predictor variables from the 3 key domains (cognitive, sensory & motor).

Study design

This study will be cross-sectional. It will compare results on driving tests and predictor variables. This study will be conducted at both the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute and the Queensland University of Technology.

Procedures/measurement tools

Participants will be tested in 2 sessions, the first comprising sensorimotor and cognitive performance measures and questionnaires, and the second will be an on-road driving test. The measures used in the study are classified as either predictor variables or outcome measures of driving performance.

Predictor variables

Cognition:  Cognitive tests will be administered that include measures of cognitive domains implicated in driving [48, 52] . Where possible, tests will have formats relevant to driving, many involving stimuli and responses in more than one sensory modality or motor domain (e.g. vision + hearing, feet + hands). Some tests in wide use have been validated whereas others will be specifically designed and evaluated for assessing skills required for driving.

Individual cognitive tests are briefly described here. Processing speed will be measured using a computerized digit substitution test in which subjects identify whether a number corresponds with a symbol in a code table [53] . Choice reaction time will be measured with a 3-choice test with stimuli in the format of a traffic light, with red, green and orange requiring different responses in hands and feet. Selective attention and response inhibition will be measured with a modified Stroop task [54] , also in traffic light format, where subjects first name the colour, then press colour-compatible keys, and then incompatible keys. Visual search and attention will be assessed with a digit-vigilance task [55] in which subjects identify target digits in large arrays of numbers. Task switching ability will be measured with the Trailmaking Test [56] where subjects connect consecutive numbers then numbers and letters. Aurally cued attention switching is tested with a dichotic listening paradigm in which subjects must respond to signals relevant to driving presented in either ear [57] . Divided attention and working memory will be assessed in a task in which cars appearing on screen are counted while subjects listen for target stimuli such as car horns, car engines and brakes, occurring in a background noise. The traditional short-term memory test of word recall, a 3-item road knowledge test with a question about roundabouts, when to give way and right hand turns, and an apraxia test (copying a 3-D figure) will be administered. Asking subjects prior to the assessment tests to note the level of a petrol meter after the completion of the assessment will test prospective memory. Reasoning will be assessed using 12 items from Raven’s Progressive Matrices [58] . The Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) will be used to evaluate the driving relevance of this widely used dementia screen. A new Driving Vigilance and Attention Test, will integrate the cognitive processes of driving (attention, vigilance, divided attention and complex reaction time) in a shorter format than if each is measured separately. This computerized test involves responding with the foot to one of 2 stimuli (cars) on the screen with either a “stop” or “go” response. After 20 trials, subjects must begin searching for visual cues from the left or right. Correct responses to the unpredictable stimuli require visual search, vigilance, attention switching and visual attention, and adequate performance requires comprehension of the instructions and short-term memory for the instructions.

Motor performance.  Motor tasks include a measure of coordination, grip strength, endurance and spinal rotation. A computerized visual tracking test will require subjects to use a steering wheel to maintain a cursor position (car) within target boundaries (road) that are displayed as a continuously changing waveform. Changing road width and speed alters task difficulty. Performance measures are RMS tracking error, velocity, movement amplitudes and velocities, and response frequency [59, 60] .

Vision.  Unlike the standard high-contrast letter charts currently used in licensing centres, we have developed a prototype visual assessment screen with tests relevant to driving (motion perception, visual field size and contrast sensitivity). Standard tests in wide use and new specifically designed tests relevant to driving will be administered. Individual visual tests are briefly described here. Visual acuity, both high and low contrast, will be measured with The Australian Vision Chart 5 (standard logMAR chart). Dot Motion Sensitivity: Subjects identify the direction of movement of a small central panel of dots against a field of randomly moving bright dots, all of which are presented against a black background. Thresholds are determined using a forced-choice staircase procedure and calculated using probit analysis [61] . Useful Field of View (UFOV): This is a measure of the functional visual field for peripheral search and localization, where targets are presented centrally and peripherally for 90ms. Subjects are required to detect the central targets and at the same time determine the location of the peripheral targets presented against a distracter array. Static Visual Fields: Static visual fields are measured using the Humphrey Field Analyser for the full field 81 point test using a threshold-related quantity defects strategy. Pelli-Robson Letter Contrast Sensitivity:  Letter contrast sensitivity is measured using the Pelli-Robson chart, which uses relatively large letters at varying levels of contrast.

Health.  Measures of self-rated health, disease history, medications and a brief form of the Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scale [62] will be administered. 

Outcome measures

Driving performance (these tests will only be conducted in the Brisbane arm of the study).  Objective measurements of on-the-road driving skills in closed-track and in-traffic conditions will be made using an instrumented car. Closed-track assessment provides highly standardized conditions whereas in-traffic assessment represents actual driving conditions, and together will provide a complete assessment of driving performance. These validated measures [63, 64] are more relevant than performance in simulators because of the very different sensorimotor conditions (e.g. acceleration forces, vestibular input, visual-vestibular conflict). For both closed-track and in-traffic assessments an overall driving rating as well as standardized scoring of specific driving tasks will be recorded. Data collected on 150 subjects show that closed-track performance significantly predicts in-traffic performance [64] , and show a high association between the research raters. Closed Road: Driving performance, in daylight conditions, will be assessed on a closed road circuit [63] . This circuit has a standard bitumen road surface, markings and signage. Measures of driving performance include: total driving time, road sign recognition, road hazard recognition, manoeuvering, and gap perception. The instrumented vehicle also allows measures of driving reaction times, braking and acceleration, steering angle and speed. A permanent video record of each run will be obtained. There is a high between-session reliability of driving scores (r=0.82; p<0.001). Open Road Measures: Assessment of driving performance under in-traffic conditions is undertaken using standardized validated techniques [64] . The 15 km driving route consists of city and suburban streets, simple and complex intersections and a range of traffic densities. Each assessment is undertaken at a similar time of day (off-peak traffic) for each subject to minimize variations in road conditions. A dual brake vehicle is used, with a driving instructor experienced in driving assessment who gives an overall rating of driver safety. A research rater, experienced in assessment of driving and rehabilitation, scores subjects independently on all driving tasks [64] . The driving tasks include turns, merges, responses to traffic signs and signals, driving straight and performing complex manoeuvers. Subjects are also required to find their way to a particular destination. Five categories of behaviours are recorded: scanning of the environment, lane position, following distance, speed and use of turn signals.

Crash statistics. Will be obtained where participant consent is granted. The study would be enhanced by state crash records which will be gathered if the participant provides consent.

Self reported crashes and driving habits.  A questionnaire of crashes and driving habits will be administered to determine kilometers driven and where and why they drive. It is adapted from an existing questionaire with extra questions on changes to driving patterns [65] .

Statistical analysis

Multiple regression analysis will determine which combination of visual, cognitive and motor factors best predict the driving performance measure. Logistic regression will be used to identify measures that predict road crashes. Of particular interest will be the tests most easily administered in the following prospective study (T2).

Outcomes

·         Development of a validated screening assessment to accurately identify drivers who may not be capable of safe driving due to visual, cognitive or sensorimotor impairment.

Researchers

Kaarin Anstey (POWMRI), Guy Bashford (UoW), Vida Bliokas (PKH), Ian Cameron (USyd), Leo Carney (QUT), Stephen Lord (POWMRI), Paul Mitchell (U Syd), Joanne Wood (QUT).

 

Project T2. Prospective cohort study of risk factors for motor vehicle crashes (Leaders: Dr Kaarin Anstey, A/Prof Stephen Lord, A/Prof Joanne Wood)

Background

A large prospective cohort study is planned to determine which tests or combination of tests best predict major and multiple minor motor vehicle crashes and traffic infringements. We acknowledge that there could be political and social sensitivities about this study, and other implementation issues such as possible difficulties in recruiting older volunteer subjects. We plan to work closely with older people's organizations and government agencies to ensure acceptability and feasibility. Negotiations have commenced with the Roads and Traffic Authority, NSW (RTA) and they have agreed to in-principle support pending ministerial approval. In years 4 & 5 of this program, i.e. after T1, we will recruit subjects for a 5-year prospective cohort study of drivers aged 80 and older. These drivers will be followed for 5 years after the end of this program and we will seek funding as required. We anticipate the final outcome of this research to be a brief screening battery that takes less than 10 minutes to administer, and identifies a very high proportion of “at risk” older drivers. This will provide an objective tool that can be used by traffic authorities in licensing. Such a model may be adapted for use in evaluating individuals' fitness to drive after head injury or stroke. It may also be used to evaluate the effect of psychotropic medication and alcohol on driving.

Aims

To determine which tests or combination of tests best predict major and multiple minor motor vehicle crashes and traffic infringements.

Subjects

Drivers aged 80 and older (n=2500) will be recruited into the study. Subjects aged 80-84 will be referred by the RTA for the assessment at the time of their license renewal. For those over 85 the assessment will coincide with their first annual assessment within the study period. Testing will be conducted at a mobile unit in convenient locations within the Sydney metropolitan area. Power analyses based on RTA crash statistics per 10,000 licenses and prevalence of poor cognitive and visual performance based on published studies [66, 67] showed that approximately 2500 subjects are required to detect a relative risk of 3.0 over follow-up period of 5 years, taking into account sample attrition due to death and cessation of driving.

Study design

A 5-year prospective cohort study which will be based at the Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute.

Procedures/measurement tools

A short form of the battery devised in T1 will be administered. It will include the significant independent predictors of driving performance and crashes, but until T1 is concluded we cannot determine the exact tests. We anticipate that it will include at least one or two vision tests, one motor test and one or two cognitive tests.

Results of the assessments will be linked to state government crash data and followed for a period of 5 years. The relevant government authority will do the linking and researchers will obtain statistical data that cannot be associated with individuals. Data analysis will allow for identification of the predictive utility and validity of the tests, and allow for further refinement.

Outcomes

·         Development, in conjunction with Road Traffic Authorities, of guidelines and tests for definitive assessment of driving ability in older drivers.

Researchers

Adrian Bauman (UNSW), Kaarin Anstey (POWMRI), Guy Bashford (UoW), Vida Bliokas (PKH), Ian Cameron (USyd), Leo Carney (QUT), Stephen Lord (POWMRI), Paul Mitchell (U Syd), Beth Newman (QUT), Joanne Wood (QUT).

Staffing

Three research assistants to undertake subject recruitment, conduct interviews, administer physical and psychological tests, undertake data coding and assist with data analysis.

 

REFERENCES

1.  Lord, S.R., et al., Physiological factors associated with falls in older community-dwelling women. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1994. 42(10): p. 1110-7.

2.  Lord, S.R., et al., Postural stability, falls and fractures in the elderly: results from the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study. Medical Journal of Australia, 1994. 160(11): p. 684-5, 688-91.

3.  Tinetti, M.E., M. Speechley, and S.F. Ginter, Risk factors for falls among elderly persons living in the community. New England Journal of Medicine, 1988. 319(26): p. 1701-7.

4.   Fitzpatrick, R., D.K. Rogers, and D.I. McCloskey, Stable human standing with lower-limb muscle afferents providing the only sensory input. Journal of Physiology, 1994. 480(Pt 2): p. 395-403.

5.   Fitzpatrick, R. and D.I. McCloskey, Proprioceptive, visual and vestibular thresholds for the perception of sway during standing in humans. Journal of Physiology, 1994. 478(Pt 1): p. 173-86.

6.   Fitzpatrick, R., D. Burke, and S. Gandevia, Task-dependent reflex responses and movement illusions evoked by galvanic vestibular stimulation in standing humans. Journal of Physiology, 1994. 478: p. 363-372.

7.  Lord, S.R., et al., An epidemiological study of falls in older community-dwelling women: the Randwick falls and fractures study. Australian Journal of Public Health, 1993. 17(3): p. 240-5.

8.  Lord, S.R., R.D. Clark, and I.W. Webster, Postural stability and associated physiological factors in a population of aged persons. Journals of Gerontology, 1991. 46(3).

9.  Maki, B.E. and W.E. McIlroy, The role of limb movements in maintaining upright stance: the "change-in-support" strategy. Physical Therapy, 1997. 77(5): p. 488-507.

10.   Rogers, M.W. and Y.C. Pai, Organization of preparatory postural responses for the initiation of lateral body motion during goal directed leg movements. Neuroscience Letters, 1995. 187(2): p. 99-102.

11.   Lord, S.R., R.D. Clark, and I.W. Webster, Visual acuity and contrast sensitivity in relation to falls in an elderly population. Age & Ageing, 1991. 20(3): p. 175-81.

12.   Ivers, R.Q., et al., Visual impairment and falls in older adults: the Blue Mountains Eye Study. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1998. 46(1): p. 58-64.

13.   Turano, K., et al., Visual stabilization of posture in the elderly: fallers vs. nonfallers. Optometry & Vision Science, 1994. 71(12): p. 761-9.

14.   Wood, J.M. and M.A. Bullimore, Changes in the lower displacement limit for motion with age. Ophthalmic & Physiological Optics, 1995. 15(1): p. 31-6.

15.   Patla, A.E. and J.N. Vickers, Where and when do we look as we approach and step over an obstacle in the travel path ? NeuroReport, 1997. 8(17): p. 3661-3665.

16.   Baloh, R. and G. Halmagyi, Disorders of the Vestibular System. 1996, New York: Oxford University Press.

17.   Maylor, E.A. and A.M. Wing, Age differences in postural stability are increased by additional cognitive demands. Journals of Gerontology. Series B, Psychological Sciences & Social Sciences, 1996. 51(3): p. 143-54.

18.   Lundin-Olsson, L., L. Nyberg, and Y. Gustafson, "Stops walking when talking" as a predictor of falls in elderly people. Lancet, 1997. 349(9052): p. 617.

19.   Collins, J. and C.D. Luca, The effects of visual input on open-loop and closed-loop postural control mechanisms. Experimental Brain Research, 1995. 103: p. 151-163.

20.   Rogers, M.W., Disorders of posture, balance, and gait in Parkinson's disease. Clinics in Geriatric Medicine, 1996. 12(4): p. 825-45.

21.   Koller, W.C., et al., Falls and Parkinson's disease. Clinical Neuropharmacology, 1989. 12(2): p. 98-105.

22.   Lord, S.R. and R.D. Clark, Simple physiological and clinical tests for the accurate prediction of falling in older people. Gerontology, 1996. 42(4): p. 199-203.

23.   Ash, K.L., P. MacLeod, and L. Clark, A case control study of falls in the hospital setting. Journal of Gerontological Nursing, 1998. 24(12): p. 7-15.

24.   Clark, R. and R. Runciman, Australian Incident Monitoring Study. 1998, Patient Safety Foundation: Adelaide.

25.   Oliver, D., et al., Development and evaluation of evidence based risk assessment tool (STRATIFY) to predict which elderly inpatients will fall: case-control and cohort studies. British Medical Journal, 1997. 315(7115): p. 1049-53.

26.   Donham, J., C. Sadewhite, and M. Seltzer, Identifying characteristics of the fall-prone medical-surgical patient. Kansas Nurse, 1997. 62: p. 5-6.

27.   Clark, G.A., A study of falls among elderly hospitalized patients. Australian Journal of Advanced Nursing, 1985. 2(2): p. 34-44.

28.   Evans, D., et al., Falls in Acute Hospitals: A Systematic Review. 1998, The Joanna Briggs Institute for Evidence Based Nursing and Midwifery: Adelaide.

29.   Nguyen, T., et al., Prediction of osteoporotic fractures by postural instability and bone density. BMJ, 1993. 307(6912): p. 1111-5.

30.   Mahoney, J., et al., Risk of falls after hospital discharge. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1994. 42(3): p. 269-274.

31.   Fiatarone, M.A., et al., Exercise training and nutritional supplementation for physical frailty in very elderly people. New England Journal of Medicine, 1994. 330(25): p. 1769-75.

32.   Lord, S.R., et al., The effect of a 12-month exercise trial on balance, strength, and falls in older women: a randomized controlled trial. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1995. 43(11): p. 1198-206.

33.   McMurdo, M.E. and R. Johnstone, A randomized controlled trial of a home exercise programme for elderly people with poor mobility. Age & Ageing, 1995. 24(5): p. 425-8.

34.   Sherrington, C. and S.R. Lord, Home exercise to improve strength and walking velocity after hip fracture: a randomized controlled trial. Archives of Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation, 1997. 78(2): p. 208-12.

35.   March, L., et al., Prevention, Treatment and Rehabilitation of fractured Neck of Femur. 1996, Public Health Unit, Northern Sydney Area Health Service: Sydney.

36.   Barbieri, E.B., Patient falls are not patient accidents. Journal of Gerontological Nursing, 1983. 9(3): p. 165-73.

37.   Hourihan, F., et al., Footwear and hip fracture-related falls in the elderly. Australasian Journal on Ageing, 2000. In Press.

38.   Munro, B.J. and J.R. Steele, Household-shoe wearing and purchasing habits - a survey of people aged 65 years and older. Journal of the American Podiatric Medical Association, 1999. 89(10): p. 506-514.

39.   Menz, H.B. and S.R. Lord, Footwear and postural stability in older people - a review. Journal of the American Podiatric Medical Association, 1999. (In press).

40.   Gabell, A., M.A. Simons, and U.S.L. Nayak, Falls in the healthy elderly: predisposing causes. Ergonomics, 1985. 28(7): p. 965-975.

41.   Robbins, S.E., G.J. Gouw, and J. McClaran, Shoe sole thickness and hardness influence balance in older men. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1992. 40: p. 1089-1094.

42.   Lord, S.R., et al., Effects of shoe collar height and sole hardness on balance in older women. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1999. 47: p. 681-684.

43.   Gibson, M.J., et al., The prevention of falls in later life. DMB, 1987. 34 Supplement No. 4: p. 1-24.

44.   Rubenstein, L., et al., Falls and instability in the elderly. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1988. 36: p. 266-278.

45.   Burke, D., Spasticity as an adaptation to pyramidal tract injury. Advances in Neurology, 1988. 47: p. 401-423.

46.   Menz, H., SR Lord, and A. McIntosh, Slip resistance of casual footwear - implications for falls in older adults. Gerontology, 2000. [Submitted].

47.   AIHW, The changing demographic profile 1976-2016. 1997, Australian Institute of Health and Welfare: Commonwealth Government.

48.   McKnight, J. and A. McKnight, Multivariate analysis of age-related driver ability and performance deficits. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 1999. 31: p. 445-454.

49.   Carr, D., The effect of age on driving skills. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1992. 40: p. 567-573.

50.   Wallace, R., The search to improve safe vehicular operation among older drivers: Are we reaching our destination? [Editorial]. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1998. 46: p. 652-653.

51.   Tabachnick, B. and L. Fidell, Using multivariate statistics (2nd ed.). 1989, New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc.

52.   Marottoli, R., L.Cooney Jnr, and M. Tinetti, Self report versus state records for identifying crashes among older drivers. Journal of Gerontology, 1997. 52A: p. M184-187.

53.   Salthouse, T., What do adult age differences in Digit Symbol reflect? Journal of Gerontology, 1992. 47: p. P121-128.

54.   West, R., Age differences in lapses of intention in the Stroop task. Journals of Gerontology, 1999. 54B: p. P34-43.

55.   Ekstrom, R., et al., Manual for kit of factor reference cognitive tests. 1976, Educational Testing Service: Princeton.

56.   Reitan, R., Validity of the Trail Making Test as an indicator of organic brain damage. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 1958. 8: p. 271-276.

57.   Duchek, J., et al., Attention and driving performance in Alzheimer's disease. Journal of Gerontology, 1998. 53: p. P130-141.

58.   Raven, J., Standard Progressive Matrices. 1976, Oxford: Oxford Psychologists' Press.

59.   Poulton, E., Tracking Skill and manual Control. 1974, New York: Academic Press.

60.   Miall, R., D. Weir, and J. Stein, Planning of movement parameters in a visuo-motor tracking task. Behavioural Brain Research, 1988. 27: p. 1-8.

61.   Wood, J. and M. Bullimore, Changes in the lower displacement limit for motion with age. Ophthal Physiol Opt, 1995. 15: p. 31-36.

62.   Lovibond, P. and S. Lovibond, The structure of negative emotional states: Comparison of the Depression Anxiety Stress (DASS) scales with the Beck depression and anxiety inventories. Behaviour Research and Therapy, 1995. 33: p. 335-343.

63.   Wood, J. and R. Troutbeck, Effect of visual impairment on driving. Human Factors, 1994. 36: p. 476-487.

64.   Wood, J., Effects of vision and age on driving performance as measured under closed and open road conditions. Vision in Vehicles, 2000. VIII: (In press).

65.   Owsley, C., et al., Older drivers and cataract: driving habits and crash risk. Journal of Gerontology, 1999. 54: p. M203 - 211.

66.   Sims, R., et al., A preliminary assessment of the medical and functional factors associated with vehicle crashes by older adults. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1998. 46: p. 556 - 561.

67.   Marottoli, R.A., et al., Development of a test battery to identify older drivers at risk for self-reported adverse driving events. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 1998. 46(5): p. 562-8.